90% win-rate macro bettor
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Sharp-wallet override: a bettor with a 90% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought No in a thin SPX market despite only a weak low-activity signal.
Total
$1,319
Trades
1
Win Rate
90%
Wallet P&L
+$105,651
Analysis
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up about $105K lifetime.
- Their $1.3K buy was nearly 79% of the market’s 24h volume, showing conviction in a quiet book.
- Buying No at 88¢ means they are backing SPX not hitting 5,200 during December 2026.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 88¢
Detected June 11, 2026 at 8:02 AM