10-wallet funded cluster

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Surfaced because a 10-wallet funded cluster is continuing to buy the same high-conviction Yes position, though the individual wallet’s track record is only modest.
Total
$2,000
Trades
1
Win Rate
62%
Wallet P&L
-$3,051
Analysis
- 10 wallets funded by the same source are tied to this position, suggesting one coordinated bettor is scaling in.
- The buy came at 88¢ on a highly liquid market with $1.6M total volume.
- The wallet itself has only a modest record: 56% wins and roughly breakeven lifetime P&L.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 88¢
Detected June 11, 2026 at 8:38 AM