New wallet near-resolution fade
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 11 12:00 PM ET to June 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
A new wallet made a near-resolution binary fade that sharply moved the Elon tweet-count market, but the wallet’s track record is still very limited.
Total
$1,600
Trades
1
Win Rate
100%
Wallet P&L
-$3,167
Analysis
- A 20-day-old wallet effectively bought No with $1.6K, enough to knock Yes far below its prior 72–88¢ range.
- The trade came less than an hour before resolution, when live tweet-count tracking can create a real information edge.
- The wallet is unbeaten on 3 resolved bets, though its track record is still small at $68 profit.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 68¢
Detected June 13, 2026 at 3:21 PM