Elite sharp on thin market
This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sharp high-volume bettor with an 80% long-run win rate is buying Yes in a very thin World Cup group market, with the trade over 4x the market’s 24h volume.
Total
$1,113
Trades
1
Win Rate
80%
Wallet P&L
+$621,217
Analysis
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $621k lifetime.
- The $1.1k buy was over 4x this market’s 24h volume, showing real conviction in a quiet market.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 808 markets, suggesting this is part of a broad sports thesis.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 14¢
Detected June 14, 2026 at 5:42 AM