What does this Türkiye Group D prediction market cover?

This market covers whether Türkiye will finish in last place in Group D of the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage. If Türkiye is officially bottom of the group after FIFA tiebreakers, the market resolves Yes; otherwise it resolves No.

When will the Türkiye last-place Group D market resolve?

The group stage is scheduled for June 11–27, 2026, and the market is set to resolve after the official standings are known. If no bottom-place team is declared by the specified deadline, the market rules determine the fallback resolution.

How are ties for last place handled?

If multiple teams are tied at the bottom of Group D, the market uses the official 2026 FIFA World Cup tiebreak procedure to determine which team finishes last.

What smart money activity is tracked on this market?

PolySpotter currently tracks $1,113 in smart money on this market from 1 signal. The recent alert notes an elite sharp entering a thin market, which may be useful context when evaluating the odds.

Where can I see Polymarket odds for Türkiye finishing last in Group D?

This page tracks the Polymarket prediction market for Türkiye finishing last in Group D, including market rules, resolution timing, and smart money signals monitored by PolySpotter.

Part of: World Cup: Group D Last Place

Will Türkiye finish last in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

This prediction market asks whether Türkiye will finish last in Group D during the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11–27, 2026. It resolves based on the official final Group D standings and FIFA tiebreakers, with a resolution deadline tied to whether a bottom-place team is declared by July 11, 2026. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,113 in smart money activity across 1 signal, including an elite sharp alert in a thin market.

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,113.

Categories: world cup, Sports, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Group Futures

Notable Trades

Elite sharp on thin market

Sharp high-volume bettor with an 80% long-run win rate is buying Yes in a very thin World Cup group market, with the trade over 4x the market’s 24h volume.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $621k lifetime.
The $1.1k buy was over 4x this market’s 24h volume, showing real conviction in a quiet market.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 808 markets, suggesting this is part of a broad sports thesis.

$1,113 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%