High-win-rate thin-market buyer

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A high-win-rate wallet made a fresh $1k No bet that was over half of the market's 24h volume, though its lifetime profit edge is modest.
Total
$1,000
Trades
1
Win Rate
93%
Wallet P&L
+$337
Analysis
- This bettor has won 25 of 27 resolved bets, with a small positive lifetime profit.
- Their $1,000 No buy was 54% of the market’s 24h volume, a meaningful bet in a quiet market.
- Entry at 80¢ suggests they see Anthropic missing the IPO deadline as likely.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 80¢
Detected June 16, 2026 at 8:03 AM