Part of: Anthropic IPO by __?

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

This prediction market tracks whether Anthropic shares will be listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on September 30, 2026. It resolves “Yes” only if Anthropic completes an IPO by that deadline; an acquisition by an already public company resolves “No.” PolySpotter currently tracks $5,896 in smart money activity, including a recent signal from a 93% winner buying Yes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $5,896.

Categories: IPOs, Dario, Finance, IPO, Anthropic IPO, anthropic

Notable Trades

93% winner buying IPO Yes

Sharp-wallet override: a bettor with a 93% resolved-bet win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought nearly $5.9k of Yes despite the market falling sharply today.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $19.1k lifetime.
  • They put $5.9k on Yes at 40¢, implying conviction after a 17-point daily drop.
  • The market is liquid enough to follow, with a tight 1¢ spread and $20.9k traded in 24 hours.

$5,896 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%

Top Holders

  1. 0xae89...90b8 Yes, $17,601 (93% win rate)
  2. 0xb582...889c No, $10,000 (97% win rate)
  3. 0x6056...c27c No, $2,668 (70% win rate)
  4. 0xfac3...5728 Yes, $2,500
  5. 0x4a2b...af20 No, $1,600 (45% win rate)
  6. 0x20dc...201d No, $1,520
  7. 0x3265...34c3 No, $1,486 (44% win rate)
  8. 0xbf93...2fd7 No, $1,184 (61% win rate)
  9. 0x8956...81b1 No, $930
  10. 0x13b1...10d9 No, $473

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

No US-Iran peace deal

Covers 2 related markets

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

391dAnthropic IPO by __?$5,896 tracked1 signalIPOsDarioFinanceIPOAnthropic IPOanthropic
Yes
46¢
No
55¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “No
72¢
44¢
17¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

9h ago

$5,896 on Yes at 40¢

40¢46¢6¢

Related Theses