Repeat new whale buying NO

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and Philippines between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and Philippine military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not. Note: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the military, however Philippine Coast Guard (PCG) is not. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A repeat new-wallet whale is putting another $25k on No in a geopolitics market, with $78.6k total recently flagged and early positive P&L despite a limited track record.
Total
$25,065
Trades
2
Win Rate
100%
Wallet P&L
+$2,623
Analysis
- This 18-day-old wallet has now had $78.6k in large flagged bets, suggesting deliberate positioning rather than a one-off trade.
- They added $25k on No at about 80¢, a sizable bet in a market with $71k liquidity.
- The wallet is early but profitable so far, up $2.6k with one resolved win.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 80¢
Detected June 20, 2026 at 11:57 AM