95% winner buying underdog

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 20 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Netherlands" if Netherlands win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Sweden". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
A highly profitable 95% win-rate wallet is leading a same-direction Sweden position across multiple related markets, backed by coordinated flow and a major event-volume spike.
Total
$10,343
Trades
5
Analysis
- A bettor who wins 95% of resolved positions and is up $6.1M is buying Sweden around 22–24¢.
- Three wallets are all taking the same Sweden side, totaling $10.3K in this spread market.
- This is part of a much larger event thesis: the sharp wallet has traded 4 related markets and $130K on the same game.
Copy Trade
Buy Sweden at 22¢
Detected June 20, 2026 at 6:41 PM