3-wallet upset cluster

This market refers on the tennis match between Ben Shelton and Thiago Agustin Tirante in the US Men's Clay Court Championships, scheduled for April 3 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ben Shelton' if Ben Shelton advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Ben Shelton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A profitable serial cross-market bettor joined two other wallets in a coordinated bet on a major tennis upset, making this a notable cluster despite one weak wallet and a bad fill by the lead buyer.
Total
$4,580
Trades
3
Analysis
- Three wallets lined up on Ben Shelton, including a bettor up $711k with a 74% win rate across 431 resolved trades.
- One wallet sold Tirante at 89¢, which is effectively the same as buying Shelton at 11¢ and matches the cluster's upset view.
- The market saw a 178x volume spike, but Shelton has since collapsed to 2¢, so this looks like a high-risk longshot entry rather than momentum.
Copy Trade
Buy Ben Shelton at 11¢
Detected April 3, 2026 at 9:39 PM