78% winner with Iran thesis

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Surface because a profitable 78% lifetime winner is building a cross-market Iran-related thesis, buying No at 75¢ on a plausible information-sensitive market.
Total
$2,000
Trades
1
Win Rate
78%
Wallet P&L
+$32,062
Analysis
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $32k lifetime.
- They have put $13.6k across 3 related markets, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off bet.
- Buying No at 75¢ implies they see the public-appearance odds as overstated.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 75¢
Detected June 28, 2026 at 2:51 AM