Profitable contrarian political bettor

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Profitable serial cross-market trader is taking a contrarian No position after a huge Yes price spike, though the position is currently against market momentum.
Total
$1,014
Trades
1
Win Rate
68%
Wallet P&L
+$52,795
Analysis
- This bettor has a long track record: 1,140 resolved trades, 68% winners, and $53k in profit.
- They are fading a massive move after Yes jumped about 55 points in a day.
- Entry at 10¢ on No implies a high-upside contrarian bet if the retirement certainty is overstated.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 10¢
Detected June 30, 2026 at 3:04 PM