Profitable quiet-market bettor

The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.
A profitable wallet added a $1.1k No bet in a thin local-election market, and the price has already moved strongly in that direction.
Total
$1,077
Trades
1
Win Rate
39%
Wallet P&L
+$78,626
Analysis
- This bettor is up $48k lifetime despite a low hit rate, suggesting selective bigger wins.
- The $1.1k No buy was large for a quiet market with only about $2k traded in 24 hours.
- No has already moved from 54¢ to 64¢, matching the bettor’s direction.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 54¢
Detected July 2, 2026 at 2:28 PM