94% winner event thesis
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sharp 94% win-rate wallet with strong positive P&L is buying No in a thin long-dated World Cup market as part of a larger cross-market thesis.
Total
$1,491
Trades
1
Win Rate
89%
Wallet P&L
+$67,182
Analysis
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $44.8k lifetime.
- They have $37.9k spread across 4 related markets, suggesting a broader World Cup thesis.
- This $1.5k buy was large for a thin book and entered at 56¢, with the market now around 61¢.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 56¢
Detected July 2, 2026 at 10:40 PM