94% winner event thesis

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $44.8k lifetime. They have $37.9k spread across 4 related markets, suggesting a broader World Cup thesis. This $1.5k buy was large for a thin book and entered at 56¢, with the market now around 61¢.

Will 6+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

ResolvedWorld Cup: No. of Matches Decided by Penalty Shootout$1,491 tracked1 signalSportsTournament Futuresworld cupFIFA World CupSoccer2026 FIFA World Cup

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.