Profitable underdog tennis bettor

This market refers on the tennis match between Jan Choinski and Alexandre Muller in the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification, scheduled for April 4 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Choinski' if Jan Choinski advances against Alexandre Muller. This market will resolve to 'Alexandre Muller' if Alexandre Muller advances against Jan Choinski. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A profitable bettor with an 80% win rate put $6.6k into a longshot tennis side during a 26x pre-match volume spike, suggesting conviction on a meaningful underdog mispricing.
Total
$6,636
Trades
2
Win Rate
89%
Wallet P&L
+$735,717
Analysis
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up about $156k overall
- They put $6.6k on Jan Choinski at 10-14¢, a clear longshot position rather than routine favorite buying
- The market saw a 26x volume spike before the match, which adds support to the idea that informed money was moving
Copy Trade
Buy Jan Choinski at 12¢
Detected April 4, 2026 at 3:46 PM