Profitable serial cross-market bettor
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 11 12:00 PM ET to July 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
A profitable serial cross-market trader is adding to a No position after a sharp market move toward No, though the edge is modest because the wallet mostly wins on high-priced favorites.
Total
$2,000
Trades
1
Win Rate
70%
Wallet P&L
+$22,038
Analysis
- This active bettor is up $21.5K across 399 resolved bets and has traded 50 related events.
- They are adding to an existing No position at 76¢ as No has surged sharply over the past day.
- Entry at 76¢ suggests they see the 40-64 tweet range as unlikely.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 76¢
Detected July 12, 2026 at 2:13 PM