92% winner adding Yes

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Chancellor of the Exchequer will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chancellor of the Exchequer is appointed, or Rachel Reeves is re-appointed as Chancellor of the Exchequer, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Chancellor in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A high-win-rate political bettor is adding a $3.5k Yes bet to an existing position in a wide-spread UK Chancellor market, though their overall P&L is currently negative.
Total
$3,500
Trades
1
Win Rate
88%
Wallet P&L
-$1,717
Analysis
- This bettor has won 12 of 13 resolved bets, with wins coming at much lower average odds than this entry.
- They are adding conviction here, with about $7.7k already invested on Yes at a 50¢ average entry.
- The market is illiquid with a very wide spread, so a $3.5k buy is meaningful despite the long time to resolution.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 53¢
Detected July 14, 2026 at 4:36 PM