Profitable UFC thesis trader

This market will resolve to "Thomas Petersen" if Thomas Petersen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Guilherme Pat at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026. It will resolve to "Guilherme Pat" if Guilherme Pat is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 18, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
A highly active, very profitable cross-market trader sold Guilherme Pat at 50¢, which converts to a fresh buy on Thomas Petersen at 50¢ during an unusually large pre-fight volume spike.
Total
$1,832
Trades
1
Win Rate
43%
Wallet P&L
-$635,142
Analysis
- This bettor has 870 resolved bets, wins 64% of them, and is up $4.1M lifetime
- The trade came during a 655x volume spike, suggesting sharper money was moving into this fight market
- Selling Guilherme Pat at 50¢ is equivalent to buying Thomas Petersen at 50¢ in a coin-flip market
Copy Trade
Buy Thomas Petersen at 50¢
Detected April 4, 2026 at 11:38 PM