New profitable AI-event trader

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A repeat-flagged 16-day-old wallet with positive early P&L is actively trading the Claude release market, taking profit at 90¢ and re-entering Yes at 77¢ amid a sharp 1-day move.
Total
$7,016
Trades
2
Win Rate
33%
Wallet P&L
+$2,143
Analysis
- This 16-day-old wallet has already put $26K into flagged trades and is up about $1.9K so far.
- The bettor sold Yes at 90¢, then bought back at 77¢, suggesting active conviction rather than a one-off bet.
- They are also positioned across 3 related Claude markets, pointing to a broader AI-release thesis.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 77¢
Detected July 18, 2026 at 6:49 PM