Serial sharp bettor sells Yes
In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 18, 2026 If England wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
A proven, profitable serial cross-market bettor is exiting a substantial Yes position, creating a defensible bearish No signal despite the trade appearing partly to be position management.
Total
$3,055
Trades
1
Win Rate
76%
Wallet P&L
+$592,560
Analysis
- This bettor wins 76% of trades and is up $540,761 across 33 resolved positions.
- The $3,055 Yes sale converts to a No position around 79¢, signaling bearish conviction even as Yes recently moved up 17%.
- The trade is smaller than the market’s deep liquidity and may partly be routine exit management from an $80,000 prior position.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 79¢
Detected July 18, 2026 at 9:05 PM