Serial sharp bettor buys Yes

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A highly profitable, serial cross-market bettor with an 84% win rate made a sizable purchase at 40¢, though the simultaneous buying of both outcomes weakens the directional signal.
Total
$4,961
Trades
3
Win Rate
84%
Wallet P&L
+$1,123,125
Analysis
- This bettor has won 84% of 170 resolved positions and earned $1.12 million in profit.
- The wallet has traded across 49 events and 65 markets, showing a sustained and unusually strong track record.
- The $2,180 Yes purchase at 40¢ now implies a substantial gain with the market around 59%, although simultaneous No buying suggests some hedging.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 40¢
Detected July 23, 2026 at 11:01 PM