91% winner scaling into No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A highly experienced serial trader with a 91% win rate is adding $7,788 to an existing No position in a relatively thin political market.
Total
$7,788
Trades
1
Win Rate
93%
Wallet P&L
+$79,191
Analysis
- This bettor has won 91% of 68 resolved trades and is up $25,135 lifetime.
- They added $7,788 to an existing No position, showing increased conviction that Lebanon will not formally recognize Israel by the deadline.
- The trade represented over three times the reported 24-hour market volume, despite the market’s relatively low $4,075 liquidity.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 81¢
Detected July 29, 2026 at 6:08 AM