96% winner makes contrarian tennis bet
This market refers to the tennis match between Mili Poljicak and Nikoloz Basilashvili in the San Marino, originally scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mili Poljicak' if Mili Poljicak advances against Nikoloz Basilashvili. This market will resolve to 'Nikoloz Basilashvili' if Nikoloz Basilashvili advances against Mili Poljicak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate made a $29,300 concentrated bet on Mili Poljicak despite the market falling sharply afterward.
Total
$9,000
Trades
2
Win Rate
38%
Wallet P&L
-$1,665,211
Analysis
- This bettor has won 96% of 164 resolved positions and is up roughly $6.0 million.
- They committed $29,300 across three buys of Mili Poljicak at 51–60¢, a substantial position in a thin market.
- The market has since fallen to 26%, making this an unusually high-conviction contrarian position worth monitoring rather than blindly chasing.
Copy Trade
Buy Mili Poljicak at 54¢
Detected July 29, 2026 at 5:06 PM