81% winner scaling into No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness or Situational Awareness LP announces, or a consensus of credible reporting confirms, that it has received new outside investor capital by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Capital from existing investors and capital from new investors will both qualify. Capital contributed by Situational Awareness, its principals, or its employees will not qualify. Only capital actually contributed will qualify. Announcements of plans to raise, soft commitments, and signed subscriptions not yet funded will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Situational Awareness, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A profitable serial trader with an 81% win rate is adding $1,289 to an existing No position in a relatively thin market.
Total
$1,289
Trades
1
Win Rate
82%
Wallet P&L
+$29,454
Analysis
- This bettor has won 81% of 37 resolved trades and is up nearly $30,000.
- They added $1,289 to an existing $2,000 No position, signaling increased conviction.
- The $1,289 trade represents roughly 19% of the market’s 24-hour volume, despite the market resolving more than a year away.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 64¢
Detected July 31, 2026 at 5:48 PM