Serial macro bettor scaling into Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate hikes will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A highly active 86% winner is adding to an existing Yes position while expressing the same view across three related markets, though its record is largely at very high entry prices.
Total
$1,747
Trades
1
Win Rate
86%
Wallet P&L
+$84,406
Analysis
- This bettor has won 86% of 1,361 resolved trades and is adding to an existing Yes position.
- The wallet has positioned across three related markets with $17,456 committed, indicating a broader Fed-rate thesis.
- The $1,747 purchase was made at 64¢, below the current 66¢ market price.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 64¢
Detected July 31, 2026 at 9:26 PM