Four-wallet Reds conviction cluster

In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for July 31 at 6:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
A four-wallet Cincinnati cluster committed $108k amid a 94.8x volume spike, with this wallet adding $85.5k before the price surged to 96%.
Total
$85,544
Trades
6
Win Rate
48%
Wallet P&L
+$2,142,867
Analysis
- Four wallets bought Cincinnati for a combined $108,127 as market activity ran 94.8 times above its historical average.
- This wallet added $85,544 to an existing Reds position, with its weighted entry near 70¢ and the outcome now priced around 96¢.
- The move pushed Cincinnati’s price up 17 percentage points, though the wallet’s 49% lifetime win rate is not independently strong.
Copy Trade
Buy Cincinnati Reds at 70¢
Detected August 1, 2026 at 1:08 AM