Part of: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $287,896.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Four-wallet Reds conviction cluster
A four-wallet Cincinnati cluster committed $108k amid a 94.8x volume spike, with this wallet adding $85.5k before the price surged to 96%.
- Four wallets bought Cincinnati for a combined $108,127 as market activity ran 94.8 times above its historical average.
- This wallet added $85,544 to an existing Reds position, with its weighted entry near 70¢ and the outcome now priced around 96¢.
- The move pushed Cincinnati’s price up 17 percentage points, though the wallet’s 49% lifetime win rate is not independently strong.
$85,544 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 47%
Five-wallet Pirates buying cluster
A linked five-wallet cluster is buying Pittsburgh alongside a highly profitable trader, while the trader’s Reds sale appears to be a small profit-taking trim from a large existing position.
- Five linked wallets bought Pittsburgh for $37,718, creating a concentrated one-sided signal.
- The involved bettor has won 95% of 19 resolved positions and is up $387,687, with a 56¢ average winning entry.
- The individual $2,805 Reds sale is likely profit-taking from a $45,174 Reds position, so the cluster is stronger evidence than this single sale.
$2,805 on Pittsburgh Pirates | Wallet win rate: 96%
Profitable serial bettor backs Cincinnati
A highly experienced profitable bettor with 4,728 resolved trades and a meaningful win-rate edge is backing Cincinnati despite the market moving against the position.
- This bettor wins 64% of 4,728 resolved trades and is up $2.1 million lifetime.
- They made a concentrated $3,013 bet on Cincinnati across two entries, including one at 38¢.
- The market has moved to 40% Cincinnati, below the bettor’s roughly 45¢ blended entry, creating a potentially better copy price.
$2,673 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 64%
Proven serial trader bought Reds early
A highly experienced serial trader with 4,728 resolved bets and $2.1M profit bought Cincinnati at 38%, but the price has already risen to 50%, making the original entry attractive but current copying less so.
- This bettor has won 64% of 4,728 resolved bets and is up $2.1M lifetime.
- They bought Cincinnati at 38%, and the market has since moved to 50%, suggesting the position was well timed.
- The trader has participated across 609 events and nearly $11.4M in volume, providing substantial track-record context.
$2,514 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 64%
$85K Reds conviction cluster
Four wallets deployed $85.7K on Cincinnati at 60-66 cents amid an 88x volume spike and a major price move, with meaningful support from profitable bettors.
- Four wallets bought $85,701 of Cincinnati at 60-66 cents, creating a strong concentrated pre-event signal.
- The market moved sharply toward Cincinnati, from roughly 46% to 92%, alongside an 88x historical volume spike.
- Two major participants are lifetime-profitable, including one up $1.0M across $27.1M invested; several wallets were adding to existing Reds positions.
$85,701 on Cincinnati Reds
Proven serial trader bought Reds early
A highly experienced serial trader with 4,728 resolved bets and $2.1M profit bought Cincinnati at 38%, but the price has already risen to 50%, making the original entry attractive but current copying less so.
- This bettor has won 64% of 4,728 resolved bets and is up $2.1M lifetime.
- They bought Cincinnati at 38%, and the market has since moved to 50%, suggesting the position was well timed.
- The trader has participated across 609 events and nearly $11.4M in volume, providing substantial track-record context.
$1,415 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 64%
Profitable serial bettor backs Cincinnati
A highly experienced profitable bettor with 4,728 resolved trades and a meaningful win-rate edge is backing Cincinnati despite the market moving against the position.
- This bettor wins 64% of 4,728 resolved trades and is up $2.1 million lifetime.
- They made a concentrated $3,013 bet on Cincinnati across two entries, including one at 38¢.
- The market has moved to 40% Cincinnati, below the bettor’s roughly 45¢ blended entry, creating a potentially better copy price.
$3,013 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 64%
Profitable bettor leads Pirates cluster
Three wallets committed $5.3K to Pittsburgh, including a highly profitable 61% winner, though the cluster lacks uniform quality and the market has moved against them.
- A 61% winner across 12,656 resolved bets and $1.6M profit bought Pittsburgh at 60¢.
- Three wallets committed $5,341 to Pittsburgh between 59¢ and 66%, signaling coordinated conviction.
- The price has since fallen to 50¢, while one participant is a long-term losing bettor and another is hedged with Cincinnati exposure.
$5,341 on Pittsburgh Pirates
Proven serial trader bought Reds early
A highly experienced serial trader with 4,728 resolved bets and $2.1M profit bought Cincinnati at 38%, but the price has already risen to 50%, making the original entry attractive but current copying less so.
- This bettor has won 64% of 4,728 resolved bets and is up $2.1M lifetime.
- They bought Cincinnati at 38%, and the market has since moved to 50%, suggesting the position was well timed.
- The trader has participated across 609 events and nearly $11.4M in volume, providing substantial track-record context.
$1,598 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 64%
Sharp bettor scales into Pirates
A highly profitable bettor with a 90% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding $97,292 to an existing Pirates position at 54 cents.
- This bettor has won 28 of 31 resolved positions, with a $1.26 million lifetime profit.
- They added $97,292 to an existing Pirates position at 54 cents, showing strong conviction rather than a casual wager.
- The bet was larger than the market's recent trading volume, despite the market having ample overall liquidity.
$97,292 on Pittsburgh Pirates | Wallet win rate: 90%
Top Holders
- 0x4d4f...e5f3 — Outcome 95444274, $181,006 (90% win rate)
- 0x3dfb...abaf — Outcome 95444274, $88,888 (51% win rate)
- 0xd48a...6e90 — Outcome 95444274, $12,963 (69% win rate)
- 0xfdfc...bf06 — Outcome 95444274, $10,870 (59% win rate)
- 0xdc4e...e5b7 — Outcome 95444274, $10,643
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 95444274, $9,976 (57% win rate)
- 0x32d2...8850 — Outcome 95444274, $5,216 (71% win rate)
- 0x1032...c372 — Outcome 95444274, $4,235 (41% win rate)
- 0x161a...4103 — Outcome 95444274, $3,212 (94% win rate)
- 0x5f07...9d0f — Outcome 95444274, $1,900 (66% win rate)
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