Serial sharp bettor buys Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate and 26-point edge bought Yes at 63%, followed by a sharp move to 100%.
Total
$1,555
Trades
1
Win Rate
95%
Wallet P&L
+$118,762
Analysis
- This bettor wins 95% of trades, with $111,295 in profit across 91 resolved positions.
- They bought Yes at 63%, and the market has since surged to 100%, strongly validating the position.
- The wallet has traded across 35 events and 42 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge rather than a one-off bet.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 63¢
Detected August 1, 2026 at 7:07 PM