Elite bettor's massive Falcons miss

This market refers to the Dota 2 Grand final match between Team Falcons and Team Liquid in the 1win Essence Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 5 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Game 3 against Team Liquid. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 3 against Team Falcons. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 3. If Game 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
A historically exceptional bettor and coordinated 38-wallet flow committed roughly $181,000 to Falcons, making this a highly notable but ultimately failed conviction trade.
Total
$181,000
Trades
17
Win Rate
98%
Wallet P&L
+$9,404,738
Analysis
- This bettor has won 98% of 590 resolved positions, with $9.4 million in lifetime profit and a 40-point edge over average entry odds.
- The wallet committed roughly $181,000 while 38 wallets bought Falcons for more than $209,000 combined, indicating unusually strong coordinated conviction.
- Falcons have since fallen to 0%, so this is more valuable as a study of a rare sharp-bettor miss than as a live copy opportunity.
Copy Trade
Buy Team Falcons at 62¢
Detected August 6, 2026 at 10:26 AM