Serial trader adds to Yes position
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2026 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for August 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for August 2026 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
A serial cross-market trader with a profitable long-term record added a sizable Yes position in a thin market, though the existing position and modest edge make this a moderate-conviction signal.
Total
$1,036
Trades
1
Win Rate
71%
Wallet P&L
+$51,802
Analysis
- This trader has participated across 27 events and is up $65,231 lifetime with 199 resolved bets.
- The $1,036 purchase was 170% of the market’s 24-hour volume, creating an unusually large one-sided signal in a thin market.
- The trader is adding to an existing Yes position at 84¢ as the market has risen 34% over the past week.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 84¢
Detected August 10, 2026 at 11:51 AM