Part of: August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in August 2026?
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,036.
Categories: Science, Weather, Global Temp
Notable Trades
Serial trader adds to Yes position
A serial cross-market trader with a profitable long-term record added a sizable Yes position in a thin market, though the existing position and modest edge make this a moderate-conviction signal.
- This trader has participated across 27 events and is up $65,231 lifetime with 199 resolved bets.
- The $1,036 purchase was 170% of the market’s 24-hour volume, creating an unusually large one-sided signal in a thin market.
- The trader is adding to an existing Yes position at 84¢ as the market has risen 34% over the past week.
$1,036 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 89441768, $1,981
- 0xad53...ef24 — Outcome 89441768, $40
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2026 will be hottest on record
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Global warming misses August 2026 range
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Global temperatures exceed 1.29°C
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June warming hits 1.15-1.19°C
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NYC AQI will stay below 100
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July warming hits 1.20-1.24°C
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July 2026 will be hottest on record
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Fed holds rates steady in July 2026
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May warming hits 1.10-1.14C
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