Serial trader sells Toluca confidence

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 12, 2026 If Deportivo Toluca FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
A serial cross-market trader made a sizable bearish position amid a 207.8x pre-event volume spike, and the market subsequently fell from 75% to 70% Yes.
Total
$3,725
Trades
1
Win Rate
74%
Wallet P&L
+$200,116
Analysis
- This wallet has traded across 127 events and 154 markets, with 1,572 resolved bets and $192,589 in reported profit.
- A $3,725 sell of Yes at 75¢ coincided with a 207.8x surge over historical volume, followed by Yes falling to 70%.
- The trade implies buying No around 25¢, offering roughly 3-to-1 upside if Toluca fails to win.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 25¢
Detected August 13, 2026 at 2:38 AM