Three-wallet contrarian No cluster

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 14, 2026 If Rosenborg BK wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Three wallets concentrated $15.6K into No during an extreme volume spike, creating a notable coordinated contrarian position despite the market subsequently moving against them.
Total
$15,635
Trades
4
Analysis
- Three wallets committed $15,635 to No at 56¢ during a 624× historical volume spike.
- Two participants are profitable over 200-plus resolved bets, though their roughly 54–55% win rates show only modest evidence of an edge.
- The market has since moved to 34¢ for No, so this position is currently underwater and should be treated as a high-risk contrarian signal.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 56¢
Detected August 14, 2026 at 5:16 PM