97% win-rate serial bettor

This market will resolve to "Chidi Njokuani" if Chidi Njokuani is officially declared the winner of the fight against Joel Álvarez at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026. It will resolve to "Joel Álvarez" if Joel Álvarez is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
A highly proven serial bettor with a 97% win rate made a concentrated Joel Álvarez purchase, though the market has since moved sharply against the position.
Total
$2,625
Trades
1
Win Rate
96%
Wallet P&L
+$1,023,038
Analysis
- This bettor has won 281 of 291 resolved trades, with nearly $1.0M in realized profit and a reported 19-point edge over implied odds.
- They bought $2,625 of Joel Álvarez at 75¢, showing strong initial conviction in a relatively thin $2,989-liquidity market.
- Joel Álvarez is now priced near 54¢ after a 20.5% daily market move, so the position is currently underwater and warrants caution despite the bettor’s record.
Copy Trade
Buy Joel Álvarez at 75¢
Detected August 16, 2026 at 12:55 AM