Four-wallet No conviction cluster
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Islam Makhachev and Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Four wallets concentrated nearly $43,000 on No, including highly profitable bettors, while a 40x volume spike and thin liquidity amplify the directional signal.
Total
$36,565
Trades
8
Analysis
- Four wallets bought No for nearly $43,000—over three times the market's displayed liquidity—and No has already risen from roughly 44–48¢ to 49¢.
- One participating bettor wins 87% of 607 resolved trades and is up nearly $100,000.
- Trading volume spiked 40x above its recent average, suggesting unusually strong positioning well before the fight.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 46¢
Detected August 16, 2026 at 3:49 AM