Sharp wallets coordinate on Under

In the upcoming FA Community Shield game between Arsenal FC and Manchester City, scheduled for August 16 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Arsenal FC and Manchester City combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on thefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Four wallets committed $21.8K to Under amid a 61x volume spike, including two highly profitable bettors with 81% and 83% win rates, though other participants are historically unprofitable and hedged.
Total
$19,637
Trades
5
Analysis
- Two participating bettors win 81% and 83% of resolved bets, with one up $647K lifetime.
- Four wallets put $21.8K on Under during a 61x volume spike, representing a substantial share of the market.
- The signal is mixed: two large wallets are historically unprofitable and some traders already hold hedged Over positions.
Copy Trade
Buy Under at 61¢
Detected August 16, 2026 at 2:55 PM