Profitable veteran bets against market move
In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros, scheduled for August 16 at 7:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
A highly experienced, profitable serial trader made a substantial contrarian Astros bet during a 55x volume spike, despite the market subsequently moving 16 percentage points toward Seattle.
Total
$7,267
Trades
1
Win Rate
59%
Wallet P&L
+$301,583
Analysis
- This bettor has won 67% of 628 resolved bets and is up $1.35 million.
- They placed a $7,267 Astros bet at 54¢ during a 55x volume spike.
- The market has since moved to 40% Astros, making this a notable contrarian position rather than straightforward momentum copying.
Copy Trade
Buy Houston Astros at 54¢
Detected August 16, 2026 at 11:38 PM