Smart Money SignalScore: 4.3

Serial bettor makes concentrated No bet

Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

A serial cross-market trader made a concentrated No bet representing 71% of daily volume in a thin political market, though the wallet's broad track record shows only modest edge.

Total

$1,096

Trades

1

Win Rate

73%

Wallet P&L

+$47,518

Analysis

Copy Trade

Buy No at 72¢

PoliticsJames ComeyTrump
View all alerts for Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?

Detected August 17, 2026 at 11:01 AM

Serial bettor makes concentrated No bet | PolySpotter