Sharp bettor makes concentrated Yes bet
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 17 12:00 PM ET to August 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
A highly experienced bettor with an 82% win rate and substantial implied-odds edge made a concentrated Yes bet that dominates this thin market's recent volume.
Total
$1,149
Trades
1
Win Rate
83%
Wallet P&L
+$208,856
Analysis
- This bettor has won 82% of 879 resolved trades and is up $206,523.
- The $1,149 Yes purchase accounts for 72% of the market's 24-hour volume.
- The wallet has traded across 37 events and 44 markets, showing a broad repeatable strategy rather than a one-off bet.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 50¢
Detected August 17, 2026 at 12:04 PM