Smart Money SignalScore: 5.0

Profitable bettor scaling into Yes

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data. Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc. If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies. This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.

A serial cross-market bettor with a profitable 204-bet history is adding to a large Yes position as thin-volume buying pushes the market to a new price range.

Total

$1,557

Trades

1

Win Rate

71%

Wallet P&L

+$51,802

Analysis

Copy Trade

Buy Yes at 72¢

ScienceCultureGlobal TempWeatherClimate & ScienceWeather & Science
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Detected August 17, 2026 at 12:16 PM

Profitable bettor scaling into Yes | PolySpotter