Profitable serial trader buys No
This market will resolve according to the next individual who the White House announces has been picked to be the White House Press Secretary who replaces Karoline Leavitt by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market. In the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Once a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A highly profitable serial trader made a large No bet in a thin market, though the historical win rate does not clearly exceed the trader’s typical entry odds.
Total
$3,364
Trades
1
Win Rate
82%
Wallet P&L
+$762,581
Analysis
- This trader has won 82% of 1,043 resolved bets and is up $832,633 lifetime.
- The $3,364 No bet was nearly twice the market’s entire 24-hour volume, signaling meaningful conviction in a thin market.
- The position was entered at 86¢ and No has since risen to 92%, reinforcing the direction of the trade.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 86¢
Detected August 18, 2026 at 4:53 PM