Sharp wallets fade Alcaraz
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A meaningful No thesis is supported by several wallets, including a proven bettor with a 77% win rate and substantial positive edge, despite some trades reflecting existing-position management.
Total
$23,602
Trades
10
Analysis
- A proven bettor wins 77% of 651 bets, is up $539,554, and has historically beaten implied odds by 22%.
- Six wallets bought No for $18,837 while other traders sold Yes as the market moved to 58% Yes.
- The No position is priced around 40¢, implying the group sees Carlos Alcaraz's title chance below the market's 58% estimate.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 40¢
Detected September 7, 2026 at 9:00 AM