91% winner takes concentrated Red Sox position

In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for August 19 at 4:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game by 3 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
A highly profitable bettor with a 91% win rate and $530K lifetime profit made a concentrated $4,255 bet in an exceptionally quiet market.
Total
$4,255
Trades
2
Win Rate
91%
Wallet P&L
+$590,785
Analysis
- This bettor has won 230 of 253 resolved trades and is up $530,440 lifetime.
- The $4,255 position is more than eight times the market’s 24-hour volume, signaling unusually strong conviction in a thin market.
- The two buys average about 45¢, though the price has since fallen to 36%, making this a contrarian entry rather than confirmed momentum.
Copy Trade
Buy Boston Red Sox at 45¢
Detected August 19, 2026 at 8:40 PM