Part of: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox

Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)

In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for August 19 at 4:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game by 3 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,920.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

91% win-rate sharp bettor

A highly profitable bettor with a 91% win rate made a large, fresh Red Sox spread bet worth over five times the market's 24-hour volume.

  • This bettor has won 91% of 253 resolved trades and earned $530,440 in P&L.
  • The $2,665 bet is more than five times the market's $502 in 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction in Boston covering.
  • The position was bought at 41¢ despite the market now pricing Boston at 24¢, creating a notable contrarian signal from a proven trader.

$2,665 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 91%

91% winner takes concentrated Red Sox position

A highly profitable bettor with a 91% win rate and $530K lifetime profit made a concentrated $4,255 bet in an exceptionally quiet market.

  • This bettor has won 230 of 253 resolved trades and is up $530,440 lifetime.
  • The $4,255 position is more than eight times the market’s 24-hour volume, signaling unusually strong conviction in a thin market.
  • The two buys average about 45¢, though the price has since fallen to 36%, making this a contrarian entry rather than confirmed momentum.

$4,255 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 91%

Related Theses

Red Sox dominate Diamondbacks convincingly

Covers 3 related markets

Cardinals will beat the Orioles

Covers 1 related market

Giants Win by Multiple Runs

Covers 2 related markets

England fails to win

Covers 1 related market

Athletic Club will not win

Covers 1 related market

Chun-Hsin Tseng will win

Covers 1 related market

Angels will beat the Guardians

Covers 1 related market

Kalieva beats McDonald

Covers 1 related market

Cubs will beat Diamondbacks

Covers 1 related market

Mets will beat the Brewers

Covers 1 related market

Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox$6,920 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
Boston Red Sox
0¢
Arizona Diamondbacks
100¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for August 19 at 4:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game by 3 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

ARI
7
67-61
Final
BOS
6
68-59
ARI +148BOS -159O/U 8.5Polymarket: 0¢
Venue
Fenway Park, Boston
Attendance
36,540

Notable Trades

Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)

2026-08-19 20:52 UTC

$2,665 on Boston Red Sox at 41¢

Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)

2026-08-19 20:40 UTC

$4,255 on Boston Red Sox at 45¢

Related Theses