Sharp bettor exits overpriced favorite

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 19, 2026 If CR Flamengo wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
A highly profitable serial trader sold Yes at 82% before the market fell to 72%, though the trade appears to be profit-taking from an existing position.
Total
$1,964
Trades
1
Win Rate
78%
Wallet P&L
+$1,692,992
Analysis
- This bettor has won 79% of 1,405 resolved trades and earned $1.65M in profit.
- They sold Yes at 82¢ before the price fell to 72%, correctly anticipating the favorite was overvalued.
- The position was previously held from 66¢, so this is stronger as a timely exit signal than a brand-new No conviction bet.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 18¢
Detected August 20, 2026 at 1:51 AM