96% winner backs No in thin market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Serghei Spivac and Vitor Petrino at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 5, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 96% win rate made a concentrated No bet in a thin market, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite only modest apparent mispricing.
Total
$3,641
Trades
2
Win Rate
96%
Wallet P&L
+$1,159,013
Analysis
- This bettor has won 96% of 339 resolved trades and earned $1.12 million in profit.
- They invested $3,641 buying No at 65–66¢, more than twice the market’s recent 24-hour volume.
- The market is thin with a 3¢ spread, while the bettor’s No position aligns with the current 64% No price after recent weakness in Yes.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 66¢
Detected August 23, 2026 at 1:59 AM