Sharp bettor scaling into Yes

On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A profitable bettor with an 81% win rate and meaningful edge is adding $3,092 to an existing Yes position, though the market is already priced near their entry.
Total
$3,092
Trades
1
Win Rate
81%
Wallet P&L
+$12,067
Analysis
- This bettor has won 17 of 21 resolved trades, with a $13,696 lifetime profit and average winning entry price of 64%.
- They added $3,092 to an existing Yes position at 73%, signaling continued conviction in the Mythos-class release thesis.
- Yes has risen 40.5% over the past week, but the 73% entry offers only moderate upside at the current market price.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 73¢
Detected August 29, 2026 at 2:09 PM