94% winner makes thin-market bet
This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Adrian Mannarino in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Tirante" if Thiago Agustin Tirante wins by 2 or more sets than Adrian Mannarino, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Mannarino." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Thiago Agustin Tirante can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Mannarino." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
A highly profitable 94% win-rate bettor placed a concentrated $23.9K bet on Tirante in an exceptionally thin market, despite the price later falling sharply.
Total
$23,878
Trades
2
Win Rate
93%
Wallet P&L
+$8,974,803
Analysis
- This bettor has won 94% of 531 resolved positions and is up $8.47M lifetime.
- The $23,878 Tirante position represented roughly 19 times the market's 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in a very thin market.
- Tirante fell from the bettor's 59–60¢ entry to about 34¢, so the trade is currently underwater despite the bettor's exceptional record.
Copy Trade
Buy Tirante at 59¢
Detected August 30, 2026 at 8:40 PM