Part of: US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino

Set Handicap: Tirante (-1.5) vs Mannarino (+1.5)

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $25,491.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

96% winner adds with six-wallet cluster

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 96% win rate is adding to a Mannarino position alongside five linked wallets after entering at a substantial discount to current odds.

  • This bettor has won 96% of 2,998 resolved positions and earned $820,000 in profit, buying at an average winning price of 58%.
  • The wallet is adding to an existing Mannarino position at 43%, while five linked wallets bring the coordinated cluster to $1,612.
  • Mannarino has since risen to 50%, and the trade arrived during a reported 3,357x volume spike.

$1,613 on Mannarino | Wallet win rate: 96%

94% winner makes thin-market bet

A highly profitable 94% win-rate bettor placed a concentrated $23.9K bet on Tirante in an exceptionally thin market, despite the price later falling sharply.

  • This bettor has won 94% of 531 resolved positions and is up $8.47M lifetime.
  • The $23,878 Tirante position represented roughly 19 times the market's 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in a very thin market.
  • Tirante fell from the bettor's 59–60¢ entry to about 34¢, so the trade is currently underwater despite the bettor's exceptional record.

$23,878 on Tirante | Wallet win rate: 93%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcd65...ee96 Outcome 39892619, $40,184 (93% win rate)
  2. 0x5b63...11a4 Outcome 39892619, $674 (71% win rate)
  3. 0xb06b...10fa Outcome 39892619, $350
  4. 0xce6e...1256 Outcome 39892619, $108
  5. 0x944e...96a8 Outcome 39892619, $88
  6. 0xc774...f218 Outcome 39892619, $83
  7. 0xbe9f...014a Outcome 39892619, $81 (88% win rate)
  8. 0x272d...bc2f Outcome 39892619, $50 (89% win rate)
  9. 0x8f12...eeb9 Outcome 39892619, $26
  10. 0xe682...dbcd Outcome 39892619, $17

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Set Handicap: Tirante (-1.5) vs Mannarino (+1.5)

ResolvedUS Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino$25,491 tracked2 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Adrian Mannarino in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Tirante" if Thiago Agustin Tirante wins by 2 or more sets than Adrian Mannarino, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Mannarino." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Thiago Agustin Tirante can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Mannarino." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.

Price History — “Mannarino
86¢
58¢
29¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Set Handicap: Tirante (-1.5) vs Mannarino (+1.5)

12d ago

$1,613 on Mannarino at 43¢

Set Handicap: Tirante (-1.5) vs Mannarino (+1.5)

12d ago

$23,878 on Tirante at 59¢

Related Theses